DOE CRUDE STATS | August 10, 2011

August 10, 2011

August 10, 2011 Despite the release of a further 2.5m bbl of crude from the SPR , crude stocks drew a sizeable -5.2m bbl this week, with Cushing stocks down -1.4m bbl to 34.6m bbl. Cushing’s strong summertime draw owes much to near record-setting PADD II refining activity, which is pushing through crude at a rate not sustained since the summer of 2000. Meanwhile, although the weekly EIA data suggest that imports into PADD II are running at an all-time high, the picture is more complex t.....


DOE CRUDE STATS | August 03, 2011

August 03, 2011

August 3, 2011 A +3.0m bbl jump in PADD III crude stocks, buoyed by a 4.5m bbl release from the SPR , drove a +1.0m bbl build in U.S. commercial crude stocks, despite the 260k bbl of production loss caused by Tropical Storm Don. 4wk avg PADD II crude refinery input hit an all-time high of 3.49 mb/d as refiners in the Midcon continue to take advantage of strong cracking margins. In products, 4wk avg apparent finished mogas demand crashed to its lowest level, on a seasonal basis, since .....


DOE CRUDE STATS | July 27, 2011

July 27, 2011

July 27, 2011 Attached are two PDF files that provide LCMC’s perspective on the DOE EIA’s Weekly Petroleum Status Report. One file provides detailed statistics and charts based on the raw data, while the other provides a brief written analysis. In this week’s DOE EIA data, driving a headline +2.3m bbl build in U.S. commercial crude stocks was a sizeable +5.5m bbl jump in crude inventories in PADD III , thanks in part to the release of 2.3m bbl of crude from the U.S. SPR along th.....


DOE CRUDE STATS | July 20, 2011

July 20, 2011

July 20, 2011 Crude stocks drew -3.7m bbl to 351.7m bbl with Cushing crude stocks down -1.0m bbl to 36.7m bbl. The week marked the 7th straight draw in commercial crude stocks, which have mirrored the relatively sharp summertime draws of 2009. Both crude imports and runs increased, with imports up 343 kb/d to 9.3 mb/d and runs gaining 403 kb/d to 15.6 mb/d. But while crude imports continue to scrape along the low levels of 2009, crude runs have increased this summer at a pace much quicker tha.....


DOE CRUDE STATS | July 13, 2011

July 13, 2011

This week’s -3.1m bbl crude draw, which sparked a bullish response in the market, came even as apparent principal product demand continued its relatively weak showing, 1.4% below last year’s levels (4wk avg basis). On the refining front, a 631 kb/d drop in finished motor gasoline output was the major story, driven by a 97 kb/d drop in total crude runs and a 3.7pp dialing back of finished mogas yields. 4wk avg gasoline imports continued their sharp skid, falling from 1.2 mb/d in mid-June to this .....


DOE CRUDE STATS | July 07, 2011

7 July 2011

Apparent US oil demand showed surprising strength this week while crude stocks posted a mild draw. Apparent principal product demand increased 0.59 mb/d to 15.25 mb/d, with finished mogas and distillate up a combined 0.26 mb/d. Still, 4wk avg total product supplied remains 0.34 mb/d (or 1.8%) lower y-o-y and a full 1.8 mb/d (or 8.8%) under what it was in 2007. US crude stocks drew -0.89m bbl, perhaps underwhelming to the market given an API figure of -3.2m bbl. Cushing continued its seasonal d.....


DOE CRUDE STATS | June 29, 2011

29 June 2011

In this week’s EIA data, crude stocks drew -4.4m bbl to 359.5m bbl while gasoline production took a hit following a four week rally. The stock draw was more than double the consensus estimate, and WTI prices advanced more than 3% following the release. A slight drop in crude runs (-31 kb/d w-o-w) was overwhelmed by a sharp fall in imports, down by -271 kb/d. Despite a slight w-o-w drop, refinery utilization at 88.1% still remains at its highest level since August 2010. Major data points: .....


DOE CRUDE STATS | June 22, 2011

22 June 2011

In this week’s EIA data, crude stocks drew -1.7m bbl to 363.8m bbl while gasoline production continued to climb as refiners pushed up crude runs moving into the summer. The 544 kb/d surge in gasoline production (4wk avg) since the start of May stems from an increase in crude throughput across the country, with refineries operating at 89.2% of capacity, the highest level since August 2010. Apparent gasoline demand has spiked in recent weeks, elevating from sub-2009 levels to a robust 9.3 mb/d (.....


DOE CRUDE STATS | June 15, 2011

June 15, 2011

June 15, 2011 Continued low imports and a 243 kb/d decline in runs contributed to a -3.4m bbl draw in crude stocks this week. A -1.1m bbl draw in Cushing leaves stocks there essentially even with year-ago levels for the first time since March 2010. Historical trends in Cushing stocks would suggest that inventories may draw by an additional 4m – 6m bbl between now and the onset of winter, which would provide additional breathing space relative to effective storage capacity. On a national level,.....


DOE CRUDE STATS | June 08, 2011

8 June 2011

This week’s stats had to fight for attention amid the drama of Vienna, but a few interesting points came through in the data. Crude imports dropped 918 kb/d to 8.6 mb/d while runs continued to improve, up 261 kb/d to 15.1 mb/d. Crude stocks drew -4.8m bbl. This week’s -1.0m bbl draw in Cushing brings crude stocks in the Midcon pricing hub to 41.9m bbl, the lowest level since February. Though Cushing inventories have fallen only a slight -3.0m bbl over the last two months, they are now within 1.5.....