EIA NG STORAGE REPORT
| June 27, 2019
June 27, 2019
The EIA reported a +98 bcf increase in inventories this week. The build was -7 bcf lower than our estimate and -2 bcf lower than the Bloomberg median. Due to independent rounding, the individual regions totaled 100 bcf this week, making a region-by-region comparison more difficult; nonetheless the South Central accounted for the largest portion of our miss this week…
EIA NG STORAGE REPORT
| June 20, 2019
June 20, 2019
The EIA reported a +115 bcf increase in inventories this week. The build was +7 bcf higher than our estimate and +11 bcf higher than the Bloomberg median. Due to independent rounding, the regions totaled 113 bcf making it tricky to properly compare regional misses, despite this, our largest miss was in the South Central, specifically salt cavern storage. The higher than expected injection into Eastern storage is likely partially attributable to an overestimate of power burns in the region. T.....
EIA NG STORAGE REPORT
| June 13, 2019
June 13, 2019
Please note our extended U.S. and Canada tables covering the injection season are included in the attachment. The EIA reported a +102 bcf increase in inventories this week. The build was -5 bcf lower than our estimate and -7 bcf below the Bloomberg median. Making a regional comparison for the misses is somewhat challenging as the individual regional builds add to +104 bcf. That said, our final estimate for the East and Midwest were 1 bcf above the EIA reported mark each, while our Mounta.....
EIA NG STORAGE REPORT
| June 06, 2019
June 6, 2019
Since the NG market monitor will not be published during the month of June, the updated monthly balances have been included in this report. The EIA reported a +119 bcf increase in inventories this week. The build was +8 bcf higher than our estimate and +10 bcf above the Bloomberg median. While the Mountain and Pacific regions saw stronger than expected builds, South Central non-salt injections were again our largest miss. Our initial estimate for the week ending June 6th is an injection ar.....
EIA NG STORAGE REPORT
| May 30, 2019
May 30, 2019
The EIA reported a +114 bcf increase in inventories this week. This week’s build was 12 bcf higher than our estimate and 16 bcf above the Bloomberg median. The vast majority of our miss this week came from the South Central region where we underestimated the build by 8 bcf. Our initial estimate for the week ending May 30th is an injection of 113 bcf. In general, the South Central often surprises due to its lower visibility around nominations, especially in Texas. Thus, there is a limit on .....
EIA NG STORAGE REPORT
| May 23, 2019
May 23, 2019
The EIA reported a +100 bcf increase in inventories this week. This week’s build was in line with our estimate and -3 bcf below the Bloomberg median. An underestimate in the Midwest build this week was offset by an overestimate in the South Central. Our initial estimate for the week ending May 23rd is an injection of 101 bcf. While our early estimate for next week’s build on aggregate is very similar to this week’s reported number, the regional split is expected to see a significant shift......
EIA NG STORAGE REPORT
| May 16, 2019
May 16, 2019
The EIA reported a +106 bcf increase in inventories this week. This week’s build was +3 bcf higher than our estimate and +2 bcf above the Bloomberg median. The majority of our miss this week was in the East, where we underestimated injections by 4 bcf. Our initial estimate for the week ending May 16th is an injection of around 100 bcf. The strong injection in the East this week was surprising, coming in higher than both our scrape and regional models had forecasted, for the second week in .....
EIA NG STORAGE REPORT
| May 09, 2019
May 9, 2019
Please note our extended U.S. and Canada tables covering the withdrawal season are included in the attachment. The EIA reported a +85 bcf increase in inventories this week. This week’s reported injection was in line with our estimate and -1 bcf below the Bloomberg median. After two weeks of overestimating Eastern builds and underestimating South Central builds, our divergence swung the other way this week, with an underestimate in the East and overestimate in the South Central, fortunately t.....
EIA NG STORAGE REPORT
| May 02, 2019
May 2, 2019
The EIA reported a +123 bcf increase in inventories this week. This week’s reported injection was 1 bcf higher than our estimate and +7 bcf higher than the Bloomberg median. Regionally, we underestimated injections in the South Central again this week, while overestimating builds in the East. Our initial estimate for the week ending May 2nd is an injection in the high 80 bcf range. This week’s 123 bcf injection marked the largest build since May 2015. Also, with the help independent roundi.....
EIA NG STORAGE REPORT
| April 25, 2019
April 25, 2019
The EIA reported a +92 bcf increase in inventories this week. This week’s reported injection was 3 bcf lower than our estimate and in line with the Bloomberg median. Regionally, we underestimated injections in the South Central while overestimating builds in the East and Midwest. Our initial estimate for the week ending April 25th is an injection in the low 120 bcf range. With this week’s number falling well within consensus, it provides an opportunity to look at some of the early highligh.....