EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | November 03, 2011

+78 bcf

EIA reported a +78 bcf build for the week ended October 28. This build was above expectations (Bloomberg median +72 bcf, Bloomberg whisper +73 bcf), the year-ago build (+67 bcf) and the prior 5-year average (+35 bcf). The build was bearish, underscoring growth in domestic production. But even as the NYMEX front month dipped down about -6 cents immediately following the release, it recovered almost immediately, currently reaching +9 cents above yesterday’s close. So even as the chances of bre.....


CFTC COT | October 28, 2011

Commitment of Traders Report - October 28, 2011

Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended October 25. We focus on net length of non-commercial traders as well as net length of money managers and swap dealers as indicated in the disaggregated data for WTI , natural gas, gasoline, and heating oil. Non-commercial net length climbed in WTI (for the third consecutive week) and gasoline, and was flat in heating oil during the week ended October 25. Non-commercials boosted .....


NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH | October 28, 2011

Schlumberger (Smith) STATS

STATS shows 1,855 active rigs as of October 28, 2011, up +2 rigs from a week ago. Oil rigs rose by +11 (ht: +8, vt-dir: +3) and gas rigs fell by -9 (ht: +1, vt-dir: -10).


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | October 27, 2011

+92 bcf

EIA reported a +92 bcf build for the week ended October 21. This build was above expectations (Bloomberg median +87 bcf, Bloomberg whisper +91 bcf), the year-ago build (+74 bcf) and the prior 5-year average (+47 bcf). After the release, NYMEX front month fell about -6 cents. However, if it were not shoulder-season weather continuing to wreak havoc on weather-based models, the build would likely not have been viewed with such bearishness. Looking forward, while next week’s build will likely .....


CFTC COT | October 21, 2011

Commitment of Traders Report - October 21, 2011

Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended October 18. We focus on net length of non-commercial traders as well as net length of money managers and swap dealers as indicated in the disaggregated data for WTI , natural gas, gasoline, and heating oil. The week ended October 18 experienced an increase in non-commercial net length across the petroleum complex (for the second consecutive week). Non-commercials expanded net leng.....


NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH | October 21, 2011

Schlumberger (Smith) STATS

STATS shows 1,853 active rigs as of October 21, 2011, down -7 rigs from a week ago. Oil rigs rose by +9 (ht: +14, vt-dir: -5) and gas rigs rose by -16 (ht: -22, vt-dir: +6).


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | October 20, 2011

+103 bcf

EIA reported a +103 bcf build for the week ended October 14. This build set a new high for the calendar week, reaching well above the year-ago build (+93 bcf) and the prior 5-year average (+58 bcf). However, the combination of fuel switching, nuclear outages and shoulder-season weather continues to wreak havoc on weather models, pushing expectations even higher (Bloomberg median +110 bcf, Bloomberg whisper +108 bcf). Nonetheless, this week’s build appears to indicate (weather-adjusted) balance.....


CFTC COT | October 14, 2011

Commitment of Traders Report - October 14, 2011

Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended October 11. We focus on net length of non-commercial traders as well as net length of money managers and swap dealers as indicated in the disaggregated data for WTI , natural gas, gasoline, and heating oil. Non-commercial net length registered an uptick across the petroleum complex during the week ended October 11. Non-commercial net length increased by 17.3 to 173.5k in futures, .....


NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH | October 14, 2011

Schlumberger (Smith) STATS

STATS shows 1,860 active rigs as of October 14, 2011, up +9 rigs from a week ago. Oil rigs rose by +4 (ht: +1, vt-dir: +3) and gas rigs rose by +5 (ht: +8, vt-dir: -3).


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | October 13, 2011

+112 bcf

EIA reported a +112 bcf build for the week ended October 7. This was above consensus estimates (Bloomberg median +104 bcf, Bloomberg whisper +107 bcf), the year-ago build (+90 bcf), and the prior 5-year average (+72 bcf). But even with the bearish announcement, the NYMEX front month is still up +$0.03 on the day (as the report is written). Weather adjusted, this week’s injection still implies balances in line with the prior week and looser year on year. With mild weather forecast, the next.....