NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH
| November 27, 2013
November 27, 2013
Baker Hughes shows 1,758 active rigs as of November 27, 2013, higher by +2 from the previous week. Oil rigs increased by +4 to 1,391 (ht: -1; vt-dir: +5) while gas-directed rigs decreased by -2 to 367 (ht: +1; vt-dir: -3). Horizontal oil rigs increased by +5 to 40 in areas of Oklahoma not currently identified with an established resource play and decreased by -2 to 90 in the Anadarko (OK). Gas-directed horizontal rigs decreased by -4 to 10 in areas of Oklahoma not currently identified with an es.....
EIA NG STORAGE REPORT
| November 27, 2013
November 27, 2013
EIA reported a -13 bcf withdrawal for the week ending November 22 (Bloomberg median -13 bcf, Bloomberg whisper: -11 bcf). The 24 estimates submitted to Bloomberg varied from -21 bcf to -1 bcf with a standard deviation of 4 bcf. Our model showed -6 bcf. Nationwide natural gas-weighted HDDs decreased by -17 to 121. Total US: -13 bcf ( LCMC : -6 bcf, Bloomberg median: -13 bcf) East: -14 bcf West: -6 bcf Producing: +7 bcf (Salt: +4 bcf, Non-Salt: +3 bcf) Today’s withdrawal came in higher t.....
CFTC COT
| November 25, 2013
Commitments of Traders Report – November 25, 2013
Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended November 19. We provide all Legacy and Disaggregated trader positions for natural gas, WTI , Brent, gasoline and heating oil. Non-commercials increased net length in WTI , Brent, gasoline and heating oil, but decreased in natural gas during the reference week. Non-commercials decreased net length in natural gas by -6.7 to +72.4k in futures and by -5.9 to +137.6k in futures and op.....
NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH
| November 22, 2013
November 22, 2013
Baker Hughes shows 1,756 active rigs as of November 22, 2013, higher by +1 from the previous week. Oil rigs increased by +2 to 1,387 (ht: +13; vt-dir: -11) while gas-directed rigs decreased by -1 to 369 (ht: +1; vt-dir: -2). Horizontal oil rigs increased by +7 to 185 in the Eagle Ford (TX) and by +4 to 40 in the Anadarko (TX). Gas-directed horizontal rigs increased by +4 to 24 in the Marcellus (WV) but fell by -2 to 13 in the Eagle Ford.
EIA NG STORAGE REPORT
| November 21, 2013
November 21, 2013
EIA reported a -45 bcf withdrawal for the week ending November 15 (Bloomberg median -38 bcf, Bloomberg whisper: -40). The 25 estimates submitted to Bloomberg varied from -45 bcf to -22 bcf with a standard deviation of 6 bcf. Our model showed -39 bcf. Nationwide natural gas-weighted HDDs increased by +35 to 138, while nationwide electricity-weighted cooling degree days reported by NOAA decreased by -2 to 3 CDDs. Total US: -45 bcf ( LCMC : -39 bcf, Bloomberg median: -38 bcf) East: -31 bcf .....
NGL MARKET RECAP
| November 20, 2013
November 20, 2013
In Focus: Louisiana ethane demand With 26% of US ethylene capacity located in Louisiana and with multiple plant conversions and expansions under construction for 2015 completion, local ethane demand is seen increasing by 230 kb/d over the next two years. A new, world-scale cracker to be built by Sasol at Lake Charles in 2017 would add 95 kb/d of incremental ethane demand. The Louisiana market as a whole is short around 200 kb/d of “native” ethane and short another 300 kb/d of other NGLs, accor.....
CFTC COT
| November 18, 2013
Commitments of Traders Report – November 18, 2013
Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended November 12. We provide all Legacy and Disaggregated trader positions for natural gas, WTI , Brent, gasoline and heating oil. Non-commercials decreased net length in natural gas, Brent and heating oil, but increased in WTI and gasoline during the reference week. Non-commercials decreased net length in natural gas by -23.1 to +79.1k in futures and by -19.5 to +143.5k in futures a.....
NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH
| November 15, 2013
November 15, 2013
Baker Hughes shows 1,755 active rigs as of November 15, 2013, higher by +7 from the previous week. Oil rigs increased by +2 to 1,385 (ht: -2; vt-dir: +4) and gas-directed rigs increased by +5 to 370 (ht: +2; vt-dir: +3). Horizontal oil rigs decreased by -6 to 53 in areas of Texas not currently identified with an established resource play and increased by +4 to 148 in the Bakken (ND).
NGL MARKET RECAP
| November 14, 2013
November 14, 2013
In place of this week’s commentary we have included additional charts that expand our analysis of US propane inventories. These will be included on a monthly basis.
EIA NG STORAGE REPORT
| November 14, 2013
November 14, 2013
EIA reported a +20 bcf injection for the week ending November 8 (Bloomberg median +23 bcf, Bloomberg whisper: +21). The 26 estimates submitted to Bloomberg varied from +2 bcf to +33 bcf with a standard deviation of 6 bcf. Our model showed +16 bcf. Nationwide natural gas-weighted HDDs increased by +1 to 103, while nationwide electricity-weighted cooling degree days reported by NOAA decreased by -2 to 5 CDDs. Total US: +20 bcf ( LCMC : +16 bcf, Bloomberg median: +23 bcf) East: +10 bcf West.....