EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | August 22, 2013

August 22, 2013

Please contact us at info@lcmc-research.com or +1 (212) 398-3642 to schedule a briefing that discusses bullish risks through the upcoming withdrawal season. EIA reported a +57 bcf injection for the week ending August 16 (Bloomberg median +65 bcf, Bloomberg Whisper +62). The 25 estimates submitted to Bloomberg varied from +60 bcf to +77 bcf with a standard deviation of 5 bcf. Our model showed +60 bcf. Nationwide HDDs were up by +2 and increased to 5, while nationwide cooling degree days re.....


CFTC COT | August 16, 2013

Commitment of Traders Report - August 16, 2013

Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended August 13, 2013. We focus on net length of non-commercial traders as well as net length of money managers and swap dealers as indicated in the disaggregated data for WTI , natural gas, gasoline, and heating oil. Non-commercials decreased net length in WTI , gasoline, heating oil and natural gas during the reference week. Non-commercials’ net length in WTI fell by -9.4k to 449.1.....


NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH | August 16, 2013

August 16, 2013

Baker Hughes shows 1,785 active rigs as of August 16, 2013, higher by +14 from the previous week. Oil rigs increased by +12 to 1,397 (ht: +12; vt-dir: unch) while gas-directed rigs were up by +2 to 388 (ht: unch; vt-dir: +2). Horizontal oil rigs in areas currently not associated with an established play jumped by +10, led by a +7 rig increase in OK. Number of horizontal oil rigs also increased by +3 in Permian (TX), but fell down by -3 and -2 in Anadarko (OK) and Permian (NM), respectively. As f.....


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | August 15, 2013

August 15, 2013

EIA reported a +65 bcf injection for the week ending August 9 (Bloomberg median +70 bcf, Bloomberg Whisper +69). The 28 estimates submitted to Bloomberg varied from +62 bcf to +79 bcf with a standard deviation of 4 bcf. Our model showed +67 bcf. Nationwide HDDs were down by -3 and dropped to 6, while nationwide cooling degree days reported by NOAA increased by +8 to 67 CDDs. Total US: +65 bcf ( LCMC : +67 bcf, Bloomberg median: +70 bcf) East: +51 bcf West: +10 bcf Producing: +4 bcf (Sal.....


NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH | August 09, 2013

August 9, 2013

Baker Hughes shows 1,771 active rigs as of August 9, 2013, lower by -5 from the previous week. Oil rigs decreased by -3 to 1,385 (ht: -12; vt-dir: +9) while gas-directed rigs decreased by -2 to 386 (ht: +4; vt-dir: -6). Horizontal oil rigs fell by -7 to 149 in the Eagle Ford (TX) and by -6 to 90 in the Anadarko (OK). Vertical/directional oil rigs increased by +6 to 241 in Permian (TX) and by +4 in Eagle Ford (TX). Horizontal gas rigs fell by -4 to 10 in Granite Wash (TX) but increased by +3 to .....


CFTC COT | August 09, 2013

Commitment of Traders Report - August 9, 2013

Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended August 6, 2013. We focus on net length of non-commercial traders as well as net length of money managers and swap dealers as indicated in the disaggregated data for WTI , natural gas, gasoline, and heating oil. Non-commercials decreased net length in WTI , gasoline, and natural gas, but increased net length in heating oil during the reference week. Non-commercials’ net length in .....


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | August 08, 2013

August 8, 2013

EIA reported a +96 bcf injection for the week ending August 2 (Bloomberg median +79 bcf, Bloomberg Whisper +80). The 29 estimates submitted to Bloomberg varied from +64 bcf to +85 bcf with a standard deviation of 5 bcf. We published two numbers this week: +75 bcf and +82 bcf (more info below). Nationwide HDDs were up by +4 to reach 6, while nationwide cooling degree days reported by NOAA decreased by -24 to 59 CDDs. Total US: +96 bcf ( LCMC : +75/+82 bcf, Bloomberg median: +79 bcf) East: .....


CFTC COT | July 26, 2013

Commitment of Traders Report - July 26, 2013

Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended July 23, 2013. We focus on net length of non-commercial traders as well as net length of money managers and swap dealers as indicated in the disaggregated data for WTI , natural gas, gasoline, and heating oil. Non-commercials increased net length in WTI , gasoline, heating oil and natural gas during the reference week. Non-commercials’ net length in WTI grew by +43.1k to 477.5k.....


NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH | July 26, 2013

July 26, 2013

Baker Hughes shows 1,770 active rigs as of July 26, 2013, higher by +6 from the previous week. Oil rigs increased by +6 to 1,401 (ht: +6; vt-dir: unchanged) and gas-directed rigs were unchanged at 369 (ht: +3; vt-dir: -3). Horizontal oil rigs increased by +6 to 97 in the Anadarko (OK) but fell by -7 to 162 in the Eagle Ford (TX). Gas-directed horizontal rigs increased by +3 to 16 in the Eagle Ford (TX) but fell by -4 to 18 in the Granite Wash (TX).


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | July 25, 2013

July 25, 2013

EIA reported a +41 bcf injection for the week ending July 19 (Bloomberg median +45 bcf, Bloomberg Whisper +42). The 27 estimates submitted to Bloomberg varied from +33 bcf to +58 bcf with a standard deviation of 6 bcf. Our model showed +37 bcf. Nationwide HDDs were flat at 0, while nationwide cooling degree days reported by NOAA decreased by -2 to 87 CDDs. Total US: +41 bcf ( LCMC : +37 bcf, Bloomberg median: +45 bcf) East: +25 bcf West: +4 bcf Producing: +12 bcf (Salt: -1 bcf, Non-Salt:.....