NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH | September 06, 2013

September 6, 2013

Baker Hughes shows 1,759 active rigs as of September 6, 2013, lower by -9 from the previous week. Oil rigs decreased by -23 to 1,365 (ht: -13; vt-dir: -10) while gas-directed rigs increased by +14 to 394 (ht: +10; vt-dir: +4). Horizontal oil rigs fell by -4 in the Permian (NM) to 50 and by -3 in the Anadarko (TX) to 38. Gas-directed horizontal rigs posted modest increases across numerous basins, with the only decrease in the Marcellus ( SWPA ), where rigs declined by -2 to 19.


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | September 05, 2013

September 5, 2013

Expanded Coverage : Starting today, our EIA NG Storage Report will include new tables and charts, detailing historical weekly and monthly builds, as well as injection rates and year-on-year inventory comparisons. This information will be provided at the regional level (including a breakdown of salt and non-salt in the Producing region) and will be appended to the regular report on a monthly basis. EIA reported a +58 bcf injection for the week ending August 30 (Bloomberg median +54 bcf, B.....


CFTC COT | September 03, 2013

EXPANDED: Commitments of Traders Report - September 2, 2013

Please find attached our expanded weekly Commitments of Traders ( COT ) report, which contains additional trader positions, tables, charts and analysis. We have decided to expand our CFTC report to include the disaggregated data published by the CFTC . The Disaggregated COT report separates the commercial category into Producer/Merchant/Processor/User ( PMPU ) and swap dealers (Figure 1). Additionally, the non-commercial category is separated into managed money and other reportables. Full.....


CFTC COT | August 30, 2013

Commitment of Traders Report - August 30, 2013

Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended August 27, 2013. We focus on net length of non-commercial traders as well as net length of money managers and swap dealers as indicated in the disaggregated data for WTI , natural gas, gasoline, and heating oil. Non-commercials increased net length in WTI , gasoline, heating oil and natural gas during the reference week. Non-commercials’ net length in WTI grew by +9.1k to 457.6.....


NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH | August 30, 2013

August 30, 2013

Baker Hughes shows 1,768 active rigs as of August 30, 2013, lower by -1 from the previous week. Oil rigs increased by +6 to 1,388 (ht: +10; vt-dir: -4) while gas-directed rigs fell by -7 to 380 (ht: -8; vt-dir: +1). Horizontal oil rigs increased by +3 in both the Anadarko (TX) and the Eagle Ford (TX) to 41 and 161, respectively. Gas-directed horizontal rigs decreased by -9 to 6 in the Granite Wash (TX) after a jump of +6 last week. At the same time, oil-directed rigs in the Granite Wash (TX) foo.....


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | August 29, 2013

August 29, 2013

EIA reported a +67 bcf injection for the week ending August 23 (Bloomberg median +62 bcf, Bloomberg Whisper +61). The 27 estimates submitted to Bloomberg varied from +54 bcf to +70 bcf with a standard deviation of 4 bcf. Our model showed +61 bcf. Nationwide HDDs were down by -2 and dropped to 3, while nationwide cooling degree days reported by NOAA increased by +1 to 62 CDDs. Total US: +67 bcf ( LCMC : +61 bcf, Bloomberg median: +62 bcf) East: +49 bcf West: +2 bcf Producing: +16 bcf (Sa.....


CFTC COT | August 23, 2013

Commitment of Traders Report - August 23, 2013

Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended August 20, 2013. We focus on net length of non-commercial traders as well as net length of money managers and swap dealers as indicated in the disaggregated data for WTI , natural gas, gasoline, and heating oil. Non-commercials increased net length in gasoline, heating oil and natural gas, but decreased net length in WTI during the reference week. Non-commercials’ net length in .....


NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH | August 23, 2013

August 23, 2013

Baker Hughes shows 1,769 active rigs as of August 23, 2013, lower by -16 from the previous week. Oil rigs decreased by -15 to 1,382 (ht: unch.; vt-dir: -15) and gas-directed rigs decreased by -1 to 387 (ht: -2; vt-dir: +1). Horizontal oil rigs increased by +9 to 158 in Eagle Ford (TX), by +4 to 116 in Permian (TX), and by +5 to 92 in Anadarko (OK), while dropping by -10 to 190 in areas currently not associated with a specific play. Out of those 10 horizontal rigs, 8 were located in TX and OK, su.....


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | August 22, 2013

August 22, 2013

Please contact us at info@lcmc-research.com or +1 (212) 398-3642 to schedule a briefing that discusses bullish risks through the upcoming withdrawal season. EIA reported a +57 bcf injection for the week ending August 16 (Bloomberg median +65 bcf, Bloomberg Whisper +62). The 25 estimates submitted to Bloomberg varied from +60 bcf to +77 bcf with a standard deviation of 5 bcf. Our model showed +60 bcf. Nationwide HDDs were up by +2 and increased to 5, while nationwide cooling degree days re.....


CFTC COT | August 16, 2013

Commitment of Traders Report - August 16, 2013

Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended August 13, 2013. We focus on net length of non-commercial traders as well as net length of money managers and swap dealers as indicated in the disaggregated data for WTI , natural gas, gasoline, and heating oil. Non-commercials decreased net length in WTI , gasoline, heating oil and natural gas during the reference week. Non-commercials’ net length in WTI fell by -9.4k to 449.1.....