CFTC COT | February 24, 2013

Commitment of Traders Report - February 22, 2013

Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended February 19. We focus on net length of non-commercial traders as well as net length of money managers and swap dealers as indicated in the disaggregated data for WTI , natural gas, gasoline, and heating oil. Non-commercials decreased net length for the first time since December 11, when the price of WTI was $85.79. Yet net length still remains at its highest level since Februar.....


NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH | February 22, 2013

February 22, 2013

STATS shows 1,646 active rigs as of February 22, 2013, lower by -7 for the week. Oil rigs decreased by -2 to 1,283 (ht: -1; vt-dir: -1) and gas rigs decreased by -5 to 363 (ht: -9; vt-dir: +4). Horizontal oil rigs increased by +4 to 183 in the Bakken (ND) but fell by -2 to 185 in Eagle Ford (TX). Horizontal gas rigs drilling in both the Eagle Ford (TX) and Marcellus (WV) fell by -4 to 20, but increased by +3 to 24 in another part of the Marcellus ( SWPA ). Baker Hughes shows 1,757 active rigs.....


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | February 21, 2013

February 21, 2013

EIA reported a -127 bcf withdrawal for the week ending February 15 (Bloomberg median -124 bcf, Bloomberg Whisper -124). The 25 estimates submitted to Bloomberg varied from -116 bcf to -129 bcf with a standard deviation of 3 bcf. Our model showed -129 bcf. Nationwide HDDs dropped to 189, down by -26 week on week. Nationwide cooling degree days reported by NOAA went up by +1 to 2 CDD . Total US: -127 bcf ( LCMC : -129 bcf; Bloomberg median: -124 bcf) East: -79 bcf West: -13 bcf Producing:.....


CFTC COT | February 15, 2013

Commitment of Traders Report - February 15, 2013

Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended February 12. We focus on net length of non-commercial traders as well as net length of money managers and swap dealers as indicated in the disaggregated data for WTI , natural gas, gasoline, and heating oil. Non-commercials increased net length to the highest position since April 26, 2011 when the price of WTI was $112.21. Non-commercial WTI net length has climbed by +109k fro.....


NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH | February 15, 2013

February 15, 2013

STATS shows 1,653 active rigs as of February 15, 2013, lower by -14 for the week. Oil rigs decreased by -9 to 1,285 (ht: -26; vt-dir: +17) and gas rigs decreased by -5 to 368 (ht: -5; vt-dir: unchanged). Horizontal oil rigs fell by -5 to 187 in the Eagle Ford (TX) and fell by -7 to 179 in the Bakken (ND). Vertical/directional rigs increased by +4 to 221 in the Permian (TX) and by +13 to 216 in the “Other” category. Although horizontal gas rigs drilling in the Eagle Ford (TX) fell by -6 to 24, t.....


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | February 14, 2013

February 14, 2013

EIA reported a -157 bcf withdrawal for the week ending February 8 (Bloomberg median -166 bcf, Bloomberg Whisper -167). The 27 estimates submitted to Bloomberg varied from -122 bcf to -175 bcf with a standard deviation of 14 bcf. Our model showed -167 bcf. Nationwide HDDs jumped to 215, up by +30 week on week. Nationwide cooling degree days reported by NOAA went down by -2 to 1 CDD . Total US: -157 bcf ( LCMC : -167 bcf; Bloomberg median: -166 bcf) East: -116 bcf West: -8 bcf Producing:.....


CFTC COT | February 08, 2013

Commitment of Traders Report - February 8, 2013

Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended February 5. We focus on net length of non-commercial traders as well as net length of money managers and swap dealers as indicated in the disaggregated data for WTI , natural gas, gasoline, and heating oil. Non-commercials boosted WTI length again this week. The total expansion in non-commercial WTI net length is now +92k over the past eight weeks while the price of WTI has .....


NORTH AMERICAN RIG WATCH | February 08, 2013

February 8, 2013

STATS shows 1,667 active rigs as of February 8, 2013, lower by -5 for the week. Oil rigs decreased by -1 to 1,294 (ht: +5; vt-dir: -6) and gas rigs decreased by -4 to 373 (ht: -8; vt-dir: +4). Horizontal oil rigs jumped by +8 to 192 in the Eagle Ford (TX) but fell by -4 to 102 in the Anadarko (OK). Meanwhile, gas-directed horizontal rigs decreased by -4 to 30 in the Eagle Ford (TX) and by -3 in both the Fayetteville (AR) and Marcellus ( NEPA ) to 16 and 35, respectively, but increased by +3 to .....


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | February 07, 2013

February 7, 2013

The EIA reported a -118 bcf withdrawal for the week ending February 1 (Bloomberg median -127 bcf, Bloomberg Whisper -125). The 26 estimates submitted to Bloomberg varied from -120 bcf to -151 bcf with a standard deviation of 7 bcf. Our model showed -123 bcf. Nationwide HDDs dropped to 185, down by -40 week on week. Nationwide cooling degree days reported by NOAA went up by +2 to 3 CDDs. Total US: -118 bcf ( LCMC : -123 bcf; Bloomberg median: -127 bcf) East: -88 bcf West: -10 bcf Produc.....


CFTC COT | February 01, 2013

Commitment of Traders Report - February 1, 2013

Please find attached data and charts detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report for the week ended January 29. We focus on net length of non-commercial traders as well as net length of money managers and swap dealers as indicated in the disaggregated data for WTI , natural gas, gasoline, and heating oil. Non-commercials expanded net length across the petroleum complex this week. WTI net length has increased by +86k over the last seven weeks. Non-commercials advanced net lengt.....